原标题：石油贸易巨头托克预计明年末油价将达100美元

　　中国石化新闻网讯 据今日油价网站9月23日消息 据全球最大的独立石油交易商之一托克称，全球石油需求的恢复可能会在2022年底的某个时候将油价推高至每桶100美元，尽管今年冬天的需求面临新冠疫情的挑战。

　　托克首席经济学家萨阿德·拉希姆周四在阿古斯主办的网络阿古斯亚太原油论坛上表示：“不仅是价格，而且我们所看到的现货溢价水平告诉我们，市场对石油的需求旺盛。”

　　拉希姆表示，今年全球石油需求已经从冠状病毒及其变种中恢复，足以使石油市场“更加健康”。

　　托克首席经济学家在阿古斯论坛上表示：“如果条件合适的话，明年我们可能会看到100美元的油价，可能发生在明年末。”

　　今年中期，在德尔塔病毒冲击美国和亚洲和欧洲经济体之前，包括托克在内的世界上最大的大宗商品交易集团表示，他们不会排除原油价格触及每桶100美元。

　　大宗商品交易商的高管在6月举行的英国《金融时报》大宗商品全球峰会上表示，尽管石油可能不会进入新的超级周期，但由于需求强劲反弹，预计供应将趋紧，油价仍有从当前水平上涨的空间。

　　王磊 摘译自 今日油价

　　原文如下：

　　Oil Trading Giant Trafigura Sees $100 Oil In Late 2022

　　Recovering global oil demand could send oil prices to $100 a barrel at some point at the end of 2022, despite COVID challenges to demand this coming winter, according to one of the world’s largest independent oil traders, Trafigura.

　　“Not just the price, but the level of backwardation we are seeing is telling us the market is hungry for oil,” Saad Rahim, chief economist at Trafigura, said during the virtual Argus Asia-Pacific Crude Forum on Thursday, as carried by Argus.

　　Oil demand worldwide has recovered enough from the coronavirus and the variants this year to put the oil market in a “much healthier place,” Rahim said.

　　We could see $100 oil next year, probably at the back end, “if conditions are right,” Trafigura’s chief economist said at the Argus forum.

　　In the middle of this year, before the Delta variant hit the U.S. and economies in Asia and Europe, the world’s largest commodity trading groups, including Trafigura, said they would not rule out crude oil prices hitting $100 a barrel.

　　Although oil may not be headed to a new supercycle, prices still have room to rise from current levels because of a strong demand rebound and expected tightness in supply, top executives at the commodity traders told the FT Commodities Global Summit in June.